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Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Zhejiang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.49%58.03%58.17%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.591.601.6668.03%62.98%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zhejiang (Visit)
Prediction 23.31%4.29fair odd
EV +0.251%
Edge +0.058%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.81%23.40%23.26%26.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.903.904.3032.26%25.62%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.59%5.38fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.21%18.58%18.56%20.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.915.005.3022.22%20.37%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 58.10%; Zhejiang (Visit): 23.31%; Draw: 18.59%. For Zhejiang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.251%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV +0.251%E +0.058%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 11:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.54%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -0.914%E -0.215%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -14.49%E -3.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -2.08%E -0.495%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.41%E -0.459%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.76%EV -3.95%E -0.958%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.64%EV -6.50%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.55%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.54%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.99%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.34%E -0.642%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -8.21%E -5.19%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.10%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.40%EV -5.58%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.50%EV -9.66%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -10.78%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -11.69%E -7.69%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -1.48%E -0.279%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.24%EV -8.21%E -5.19%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.36%EV -8.14%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -9.07%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.07%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.07%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.21%E -5.19%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.07%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.92%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.07%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.78%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -10.24%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.78%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.24%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.24%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.78%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -10.71%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.71%EV -1.67%E -0.315%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -12.85%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.46%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -12.85%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.46%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.15%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -7.99%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.15%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -7.99%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -14.90%E -4.08%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -5.20%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.49%E -3.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.49%E -3.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.78%EV -8.21%E -5.19%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -17.23%E -4.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.06%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 57.71%EV -14.60%E -9.93%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -18.40%E -5.26%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.05%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.57%EV -12.85%E -8.57%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.89%EV -27.73%E -8.94%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.55%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.96% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.96% | 0.1% | 2026-10-17 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |