Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 42.82%2.34fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.98%42.74%46.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2450.00%46.42%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 31.69%3.16fair odd
EV +4.58%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.091%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%31.51%31.73%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.912.903.3038.46%34.35%34.48%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%25.51%25.53%26.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.8029.41%27.82%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 42.82%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 31.69%; Draw: 25.49%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV +4.58%E +1.39%K +1.99%G +0.091% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01%EV -1.76%E -0.569%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01%EV -1.76%E -0.569%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.91%EV -4.08%E -1.82%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%EV -3.98%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.36%EV -3.40%E -0.896%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.83%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.10%EV -3.98%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.06%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.37%E -2.43%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -7.08%E -3.26%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 10:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 10:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.52%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -9.26%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.36%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.36%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.49%EV -7.51%E -3.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.73%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.03%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 11:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -9.22%E -4.35%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -9.22%E -4.35%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 11:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -14.44%E -5.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -14.36%E -7.18%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -17.61%E -6.77%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-09 11:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
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