Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 58.54%1.71fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -6.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.43%58.61%58.38%61.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.30%63.49%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.07%4.98fair odd
EV +2.34%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.572%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%20.01%20.14%21.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.505.1025.00%21.81%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.40%4.67fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.13%21.38%21.48%23.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.254.224.6025.97%23.55%23.67%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 58.54%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 20.07%; Draw: 21.40%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -12.20%E -8.13%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV +2.34%E +0.460%K +0.572%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -1.58%E -0.342%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 12:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV +0.337%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.71%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -9.85%E -6.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV +0.337%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -1.58%E -0.342%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.44%E -6.82%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV +0.337%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.71%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -10.44%E -6.82%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV +0.337%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.35%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.77%EV -3.48%E -0.723%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.52%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.68%E -0.766%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.68%E -0.766%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.68%E -0.766%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -11.03%E -7.25%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -3.68%E -0.766%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.71%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.68%E -0.985%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.71%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -9.85%E -6.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -4.68%E -0.985%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -4.68%E -0.985%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -4.68%E -0.985%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -12.20%E -8.13%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -4.68%E -0.985%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -3.71%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.16%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.57%EV -5.21%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.68%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -5.68%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.45%EV -7.29%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.93%EV -7.78%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.93%E -4.36%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -7.69%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.69%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -17.62%E -4.58%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -7.35%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.51%E -4.76%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.51%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.51%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.70%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -11.70%E -2.66%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -11.70%E -2.66%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -11.70%E -2.66%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -10.44%E -6.82%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.70%E -2.66%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.43%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -13.71%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.54%EV -9.85%E -6.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -13.71%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -14.71%E -3.46%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.50%EV -15.48%E -3.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.03%E -7.25%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -15.72%E -3.74%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.44%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.72%E -3.74%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.72%EV -17.62%E -4.58%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.44%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.72%E -3.74%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.72%EV -17.62%E -4.58%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.44%E -6.82%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -19.73%E -4.93%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |