Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 11:35 UTC

Final: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 1–1 Qingdao West Coast FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prediction 64.14%1.56fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -7.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%64.07%64.03%65.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5072.46%69.04%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 15.55%6.43fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.164%
Kelly +0.194%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.11%15.55%15.66%17.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.815.806.5019.05%17.21%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.31%4.92fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.42%20.38%20.32%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.434.404.8026.67%22.59%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 64.14%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 15.55%; Draw: 20.31%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.21%E -7.29%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +1.06%E +0.164%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 07:53
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.15%EV -5.72%E -3.89%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.89%EV -0.024%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -2.49%E -0.519%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.37%EV -5.08%E -3.43%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.05%EV -1.58%E -0.249%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV -5.95%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.72%E -3.89%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -2.82%E -0.452%K -0.538%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.77%EV -7.00%E -4.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.82%E -0.452%K -0.538%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.77%EV -7.00%E -4.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.82%E -0.452%K -0.538%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.00%E -4.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.82%E -0.452%K -0.538%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.92%E -6.28%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -3.60%E -0.581%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.34%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.07%EV -4.38%E -0.712%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:55
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.23%EV -3.79%E -2.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.55%EV -5.15%E -0.845%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.22%EV -9.20%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.72%E -3.89%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -2.49%E -0.519%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.00%E -4.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -8.92%E -6.28%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.62%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 07:53
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.21%E -7.29%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -8.92%E -6.28%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.71%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 07:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.08%E -3.43%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -8.26%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.08%E -3.43%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -8.26%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 07:54
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -8.26%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -8.26%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -8.28%E -5.79%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.82%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.26%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -9.82%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.00%E -4.83%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.60%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.51%E -0.739%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -10.60%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -10.60%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -10.60%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -10.21%E -7.29%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -10.60%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.28%EV -11.49%E -8.33%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.56%EV -11.37%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -10.62%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -8.92%E -6.28%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.93%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -4.52%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -4.43%E -2.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -5.08%E -3.43%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -14.68%E -3.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-30 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.21%E -7.29%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.21%E -7.29%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -14.48%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.82%E -6.35%K -8.66%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -6.36%E -4.36%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -16.04%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -14.68%E -3.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -6.36%E -4.36%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -16.04%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -14.68%E -3.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.36%EV -10.85%E -7.80%K -27.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -17.59%E -3.32%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -10.62%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.37%E -3.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -7.64%E -5.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.37%E -3.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.23%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.23%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.23%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-05-01 07:54