Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao West Coast FC v Zhejiang

Início: 2026-06-28 10:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 3–1 Zhejiang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Previsão 36.84%2.71odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -0.895%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.19%36.86%36.78%37.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.512.502.6543.48%39.84%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Previsão 36.83%2.72odd justa
EV -3.51%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.49%36.81%36.79%38.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.512.502.6242.55%39.88%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.33%3.80odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.338%
Kelly -0.460%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.19%26.32%26.44%29.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.463.453.7534.72%28.90%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 36.84%; Zhejiang (Visitante): 36.83%; Empate: 26.33%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -1.27%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -2.37%E -0.895%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.07%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.55%EV -4.43%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 09:50
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 09:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -3.51%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -3.51%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:50
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -3.51%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:49
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 09:39
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 09:49
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 09:49
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:29
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 19:30
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.79%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.82%E -2.70%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -8.90%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 09:49
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.16%E -2.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.19%E -2.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 09:39
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.16%E -2.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.19%E -2.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 09:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 09:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 09:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:50
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 09:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.61%E -4.84%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -8.66%E -3.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-23 19:30
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 09:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -8.63%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -8.63%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 19:30
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:49
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-28 09:40
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-28 09:49
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-28 09:49
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -12.34%E -5.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -24.17%E -8.39%K -12.86%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-28 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.45%E -5.72%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-28 09:39
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -15.27%E -6.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -12.34%E -5.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-28 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-06-28 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-06-28 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-06-28 09:50
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-06-28 09:50