La escuela de los momios

Qingdao West Coast FC v Zhejiang

Inicio: 2026-06-28 10:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 3–1 Zhejiang

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Predicción 36.84%2.71momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.895%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.19%36.86%36.78%37.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.6543.48%39.84%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Predicción 36.83%2.72momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.49%36.81%36.79%38.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.512.502.6242.55%39.88%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.33%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.338%
Kelly -0.460%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.32%26.44%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.463.453.7534.72%28.90%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -2.37%E -0.895%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.07%EV -4.24%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.55%EV -4.43%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 09:50
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 09:49
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -3.51%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:49
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -3.51%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:50
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -3.51%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 09:49
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 09:39
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 09:49
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 09:49
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 09:49
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 09:39
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:29
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 19:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 19:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 19:30
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.79%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.82%E -2.70%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -8.90%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 09:49
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.16%E -2.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.19%E -2.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 09:39
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.16%E -2.84%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.19%E -2.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 09:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 09:39
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 09:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:50
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:40
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:50
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.16%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 09:39
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 09:39
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.61%E -4.84%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -8.66%E -3.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-23 19:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 09:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -8.63%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 19:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -8.63%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 19:30
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 09:49
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -6.08%E -2.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 09:50
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.53%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-28 09:40
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-28 09:49
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-28 09:49
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.98%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.77%E -3.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -12.34%E -5.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -24.17%E -8.39%K -12.86%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-28 09:29
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.45%E -5.72%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-28 09:39
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -15.27%E -6.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -12.34%E -5.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-28 09:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-06-28 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-06-28 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-06-28 09:50
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-06-28 09:50