The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Qingdao West Coast FC v Yunnan Yukun

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:30 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 1–1 Yunnan Yukun

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.324%
Kelly -0.536%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%39.22%39.14%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.322.302.5348.78%43.16%43.48%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

Prediction 35.42%2.82fair odd
EV +0.958%
Edge +0.336%
Kelly +0.518%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.75%35.26%35.41%36.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.632.602.8542.02%38.09%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%25.52%25.45%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.653.9031.25%27.63%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 39.20%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 35.42%; Draw: 25.37%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.958%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +0.958%E +0.336%K +0.518%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 09:10
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +0.958%E +0.336%K +0.518%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 09:10
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +0.958%E +0.336%K +0.518%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 09:10
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +0.958%E +0.336%K +0.518%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +0.958%E +0.336%K +0.518%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 09:10
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV +0.958%E +0.336%K +0.518%G +0.005%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 09:10
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -14.93%E -6.88%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -2.58%E -0.940%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-22 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.15%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -6.37%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 07:10
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.15%EV -4.00%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -6.37%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 07:09
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.13%EV -0.820%E -0.324%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -4.36%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.14%EV -6.37%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 04:20
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.36%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -15.72%E -7.31%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -4.36%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 09:10
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 07:24
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.04%E -0.266%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -3.58%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -18.80%E -5.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 06:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.26%EV -16.89%E -7.97%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.01%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-22 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.26%EV -16.89%E -7.97%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.01%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-22 09:10
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.58%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 04:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 04:40
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 06:48
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.04%E -0.266%K -0.358%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 07:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 07:10
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 05:34
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:23
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 07:25
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 07:10
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -8.27%E -3.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.07%EV -8.25%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.01%EV -1.29%E -0.332%K -0.447%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.03%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.53%EV -8.25%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.44%EV -11.70%E -3.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 01:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.08%EV -8.27%E -3.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 04:39
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 04:39
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 04:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -13.76%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 04:39
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 00:59
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-24 01:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-24 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.76%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.45%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23%EV -13.21%E -5.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.28%EV -19.64%E -9.58%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.54%EV -13.21%E -5.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-24 07:10
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -13.76%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -15.69%E -6.59%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-24 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-10-24 07:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-10-24 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-10-24 07:15
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.08%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-10-24 06:00