Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao West Coast FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 11:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 1–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.87%46.32%46.60%47.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.012.002.0853.48%49.79%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.90%4.02fair odd
EV -0.399%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.133%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.58%25.03%24.80%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.604.0029.41%27.50%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.65%28.59%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.4034.72%31.26%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 46.44%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 24.90%; Draw: 28.66%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.399%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.94%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.75%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.31%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 04:24
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV -1.40%E -0.352%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -5.72%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 08:34
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 05:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 05:09
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 05:09
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 05:09
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 05:09
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.47%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -6.29%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 08:59
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.57%E -0.755%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 08:39
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 05:10
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 09:17
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 09:19
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.87%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.09%E -4.09%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 05:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.09%E -4.09%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 05:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-05 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -6.65%E -3.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -6.65%E -3.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 09:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 04:14
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 08:29
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 09:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 09:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.52%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -8.87%E -2.79%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 08:55
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 08:30
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 08:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:48
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 07:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 07:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 07:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 07:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 08:39
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 08:39
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 08:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 09:09
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.34%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-05 05:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.11%E -3.56%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.34%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-05 05:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -8.04%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 08:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.97%E -4.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 08:29
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -15.34%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -17.47%E -6.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-05 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -11.76%E -6.19%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.34%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-05 08:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.03%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-05 08:30
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-05 04:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-05 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-05 09:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-05 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-05-05 09:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-05-05 08:30