Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 38.01%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 35.14%; Draw: 26.85%. For Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.35%EV -4.60%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -1.60%E -0.571%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.27%EV -5.22%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.30%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.30%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.64%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.44%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 10:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.33%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.35%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.38%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.34%EV -7.26%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.78%EV -5.46%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -6.56%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 11:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.39%EV -7.64%E -3.15%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.39%EV -14.60%E -6.01%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.42%EV -8.40%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.81%EV -6.52%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.76%EV -7.10%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 11:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:52 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.38%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.38%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.02% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-08-22 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |