Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao West Coast FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 10:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 2–0 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prediction 42.49%2.35fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.58%42.34%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.34%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.74%3.36fair odd
EV +0.236%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.099%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%29.73%29.77%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3734.48%32.17%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -0.045%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%27.69%27.90%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.05%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 42.49%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 29.74%; Draw: 27.77%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.236%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.07%EV -7.79%E -3.59%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.73%EV +0.236%E +0.070%K +0.099%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 09:55
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -0.045%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -3.93%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -3.38%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 09:45
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.60%EV -9.49%E -4.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.75%EV -3.93%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.64%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 09:45
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 09:54
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -12.89%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.82%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:49
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 09:54
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:40
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:40
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:40
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:39
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 09:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -12.89%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 09:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.35%EV -6.94%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.54%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -2.27%E -0.987%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 09:49
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 09:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 09:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 09:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.80%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 09:44
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 09:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 09:49
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 09:50
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -12.47%E -6.05%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -12.47%E -6.05%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 09:40
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 09:55
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 09:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 09:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 09:49
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 09:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -15.02%E -7.51%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 09:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%0.3%2026-08-02 09:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%0.3%2026-08-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-02 09:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-02 09:45

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