Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 11:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao Hainiu FC 0–0 Qingdao West Coast FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Prediction 43.77%2.28fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.28%43.85%43.67%45.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.102.102.2050.25%47.67%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV -0.873%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.39%28.55%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.4833.33%30.99%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.74%3.60fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -0.930%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%27.76%27.78%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.253.5233.33%30.47%30.77%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 43.77%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 28.48%; Draw: 27.74%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.48, with an expected value of -0.873%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 10:45
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -5.45%E -2.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.13%EV -2.58%E -0.755%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.34%E -0.666%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 10:44
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.37%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.89%EV -2.58%E -0.755%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:45
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.36%EV -0.873%E -0.251%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.34%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:44
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 10:44
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:40
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 10:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.34%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 10:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:44
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:44
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 10:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.32%EV -7.64%E -3.62%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 10:44
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 10:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:44
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 10:44
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 10:43
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 10:44
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 10:44
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 06:59
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 06:59
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 06:59
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 06:59
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.40%EV -9.39%E -4.54%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.40%EV -9.39%E -4.54%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:43
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 10:44
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 10:44
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.46%E -6.23%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-17 10:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.46%E -6.23%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.46%E -6.23%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.77%E -5.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-17 10:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.98%EV -12.89%E -6.48%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.61%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-17 10:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-17 10:44