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Qingdao Hainiu FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Prediction 8.96%11.17fair odd
EV +7.46%
Edge +0.622%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.89%9.00%9.00%10.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.2910.5012.0011.76%9.72%9.52%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 75.69%1.32fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -11.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.99%75.74%75.63%77.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.211.211.2888.50%82.47%82.64%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.35%6.51fair odd
EV +0.247%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.045%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.01%15.26%15.37%16.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.056.006.5318.18%16.53%16.67%15.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 8.96%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 75.69%; Draw: 15.35%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.17. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +7.46%E +0.622%K +0.678%G +0.051% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -6.90%E -5.61%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -4.05%E -0.648%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.98%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.98%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.98%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.98%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.98%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.98%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV +2.98%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.008% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.79%EV -10.68%E -9.05%K -59.35%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.23%EV -0.981%E -0.152%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 10:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.73%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -1.49%E -0.136%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.07%EV -10.68%E -9.05%K -59.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -4.82%E -0.777%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.38%E -4.31%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -6.35%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.01%EV -6.35%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -10.68%E -9.05%K -59.35%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -6.35%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -11.44%E -9.78%K -67.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.85%EV -12.95%E -11.26%K -86.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.42%EV -5.97%E -0.569%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.85%EV -12.95%E -11.26%K -86.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 10:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.49%EV -9.55%E -0.946%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.90%EV -3.11%E -2.43%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.61%EV -5.74%E -0.935%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.08I 9.92%NM 9.39%EV -9.73%E -0.965%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.16%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.45%EV -5.89%E -0.961%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.45%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.38%E -4.31%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.45%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.38%E -4.31%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -10.45%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -10.45%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -10.45%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -10.45%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -10.45%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -12.24%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.31%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -14.93%E -1.57%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -8.41%E -6.95%K -40.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -14.93%E -1.57%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -14.93%E -1.57%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.97%EV -15.82%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.40%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.97%EV -15.82%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.40%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.97%EV -15.82%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.40%EV -4.63%E -3.67%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -19.40%E -2.16%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -0.213%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -19.40%E -2.16%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -19.40%E -2.16%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -19.40%E -2.16%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.17%E -7.64%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.43%EV -19.40%E -2.16%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 75.13%EV -14.47%E -12.80%K -111.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.44%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.88I 11.26%NM 10.57%EV -20.48%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.06%EV -5.38%E -4.31%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.37%EV +0.247%E +0.038%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -23.88%E -2.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.17%EV -9.93%E -8.34%K -52.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -4.05%E -0.648%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.48% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.89% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.91% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.89% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.91% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.73% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 3.1% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |