The School of Odds
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Liaoning Tieren FC v Zhejiang

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:30 UTC

Final: Liaoning Tieren FC 2–4 Zhejiang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prediction 38.15%2.62fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.55%38.43%38.04%41.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.382.402.5848.78%42.06%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zhejiang (Visit)

Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.78%
Growth +0.128%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.13%39.16%39.67%41.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.352.6547.62%41.85%42.55%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.38%4.47fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.46%22.41%22.29%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.3027.03%24.75%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 38.15%; Zhejiang (Visit): 39.47%; Draw: 22.38%. For Zhejiang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -13.03%E -5.71%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV +4.60%E +1.73%K +2.78%G +0.128%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 06:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -13.03%E -5.71%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV +4.60%E +1.73%K +2.78%G +0.128%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 07:10
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -13.03%E -5.71%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV +4.60%E +1.73%K +2.78%G +0.128%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 06:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -13.03%E -5.71%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV +4.60%E +1.73%K +2.78%G +0.128%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 06:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -13.03%E -5.71%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV +4.60%E +1.73%K +2.78%G +0.128%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 06:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -13.03%E -5.71%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV +4.60%E +1.73%K +2.78%G +0.128%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV +0.648%E +0.254%K +0.418%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -13.82%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.29%EV -17.22%E -7.94%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV +0.648%E +0.254%K +0.418%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -14.94%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 06:55
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -1.33%E -0.530%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.33%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 07:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -1.33%E -0.530%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.96%EV -18.37%E -8.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.35%EV -2.11%E -0.853%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -17.18%E -4.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 06:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.96%EV -18.37%E -8.58%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.35%EV -2.11%E -0.853%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -17.18%E -4.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 07:10
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.88%EV -3.87%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.96%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -7.77%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 07:25
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 07:14
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%EV -3.87%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.60%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.33%EV -14.04%E -3.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 07:25
BetUS🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.90%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.75%E -0.871%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 07:20
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.44%EV -8.83%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 07:20
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.23%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -11.58%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:20
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.23%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -11.58%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -2.35%E -0.917%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.26%EV -6.85%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.73%EV -1.58%E -0.614%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.16%EV -6.85%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -3.75%E -0.871%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 07:24
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -3.75%E -0.871%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 07:25
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 07:25
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.22%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 07:25
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.22%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.05%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.22%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.42%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.85%EV -8.82%E -3.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.34%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 07:25
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -8.22%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 07:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -8.22%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 07:23
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -8.22%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-24 07:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.61%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.61%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 07:15
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.61%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.61%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 07:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -11.19%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -11.19%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.81%EV -21.80%E -10.64%K -20.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.18%EV -11.19%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.01%EV -14.94%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%19.5%2026-10-24 07:14
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%EV -13.17%E -5.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -5.98%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%EV -13.17%E -5.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.56%EV -17.11%E -8.15%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.94%E -3.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-24 07:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 38.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.00%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.98%0.0%2026-10-24 07:25
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.30%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.04%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.04%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-10-24 07:25

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