The School of Odds
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Liaoning Tieren FC v Wuhan Three Towns

2026-10-11 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prediction 38.45%2.60fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.59%38.50%38.41%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.402.4746.51%42.20%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visit)

Prediction 37.13%2.69fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.69%37.06%37.19%37.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.70%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.42%4.10fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.320%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%24.45%24.41%25.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.754.1528.57%26.69%26.67%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 38.45%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 37.13%; Draw: 24.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.15, producing a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.02%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.94%EV -6.43%E -2.55%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%EV +1.33%E +0.320%K +0.422%G +0.006%4.6%2026-10-04 13:04
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 12:54
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.35%EV -5.02%E -2.03%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.30%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.35%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 16:19
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 14:40
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.56%E -5.02%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 12:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -11.56%E -5.02%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 12:54
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-04 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.18%EV -7.33%E -3.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.81%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.01%EV -10.15%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 12:20
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.59%EV -6.94%E -2.87%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.59%EV -6.94%E -2.87%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.20%EV -11.56%E -5.02%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.75%E -5.42%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-04 12:34
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.41%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-04 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.28%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.45%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-04 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -17.32%E -8.06%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -10.89%E -4.54%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -14.54%E -4.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-04 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.