Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 40.46%2.47fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.63%40.54%40.42%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.292.4048.78%44.08%43.76%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.580%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%28.95%28.92%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.123.153.4135.09%32.07%31.75%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.63%3.27fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%30.50%30.66%31.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.033.043.1537.74%33.00%32.89%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 40.46%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 28.92%; Draw: 30.63%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.41, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.67%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.67%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.47%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.25%EV -1.40%E -0.410%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.28%EV -5.67%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 06:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.14%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 07:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -6.14%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 06:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.35%E -3.21%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -8.73%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 07:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -7.76%E -3.40%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -7.76%E -3.40%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -16.72%E -5.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 07:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -11.81%E -3.87%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 06:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 06:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -17.59%E -6.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -17.59%E -6.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.31%EV -10.59%E -4.79%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -1.40%E -0.410%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -5.36%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 07:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.99%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 07:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.99%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 07:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.99%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.79%E -4.09%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 07:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.02%E -6.05%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -14.70%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 07:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 41.55%EV -16.66%E -8.09%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.72%EV -13.83%E -4.64%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -11.79%E -4.09%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-21 07:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -17.06%E -8.32%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -18.84%E -7.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-21 07:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 07:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 07:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 07:25 |