Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Liaoning Tieren FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Inizio: 2026-08-15 11:00 UTC

Finale: Liaoning Tieren FC 1–2 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Liaoning Tieren FC (Casa)

Previsione 42.03%2.38quota equa
EV -3.32%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.08%42.02%42.04%43.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.062.192.172.3048.54%45.59%46.08%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.53%3.17quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.419%
Kelly -0.616%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.26%31.52%31.60%34.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.662.902.903.1337.59%34.45%34.48%31.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.44%3.78quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -0.590%
Kelly -0.808%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.26%26.46%26.36%28.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.69%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Liaoning Tieren FC (Casa): 42.03%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Trasferta): 31.53%; Pareggio: 26.44%. Per Shenzhen Peng City FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.17. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.13, con un valore atteso del -1.31%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -3.32%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.50%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 10:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -3.32%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.50%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 10:54
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.28%EV -3.32%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.25%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.09%EV -3.77%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:39
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -3.32%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.66%EV -16.13%E -6.06%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.50%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:04
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.17%E -1.83%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -1.31%E -0.419%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV -5.88%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 10:45
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:53
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:39
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 10:49
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -9.58%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:49
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.35%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.35%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.35%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 10:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 10:34
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:40
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:39
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:40
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:40
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.18%E -0.590%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 21:04
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:54
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:40
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 10:53
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 10:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.72%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.29%E -4.83%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:54
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -10.05%E -4.70%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -2.57%E -0.833%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -5.09%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -13.29%E -4.83%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.21%EV -13.41%E -6.51%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -14.87%E -5.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.21%EV -13.41%E -6.51%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -14.87%E -5.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 10:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-08-15 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-15 10:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-15 10:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-15 10:49
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-15 10:45