L’École des cotes

Henan FC v Zhejiang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 11:00 UTC

Score final : Henan FC 0–2 Zhejiang

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 43.97%2.27cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.13%44.30%43.85%47.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.072.082.2252.36%48.34%48.19%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zhejiang (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.66%3.26cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.357%
Kelly +0.512%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.08%30.43%30.69%32.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.63%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.37%3.94cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.366%
Kelly +0.489%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.63%25.27%25.46%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.85%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -12.93%E -6.53%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV +1.18%E +0.357%K +0.512%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +1.47%E +0.366%K +0.489%G +0.007%5.8%2026-05-30 10:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV +1.18%E +0.357%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.61%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 10:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 10:40
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 10:39
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.13%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.87%EV -1.28%E -0.396%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 10:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 10:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 10:47
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 10:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -12.62%E -4.43%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 10:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -0.969%E -0.300%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.86%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 10:50
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 10:46
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -10.47%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 10:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -10.47%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 10:50
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 10:50
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 10:50
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 10:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 10:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 10:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 10:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 10:39
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 10:40
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 10:40
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 10:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:50
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -6.34%E -2.97%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -9.70%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -13.37%E -6.79%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -15.69%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-30 10:49
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 10:50
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 10:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 10:50
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.49%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 10:48
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 10:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 10:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 10:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 10:49
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 43.81%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.06%EV -15.69%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-30 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.01%E -8.38%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -11.70%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.36%E -6.89%K -10.17%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-30 10:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-05-30 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-05-30 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-05-30 10:50
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-05-30 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-30 10:50