La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Henan FC v Zhejiang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Henan FC (Local)
Predicción 43.97%2.27momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.13%44.30%43.85%47.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.082.2252.36%48.34%48.19%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zhejiang (Visitante)
Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV +1.18%
Ventaja +0.357%
Kelly +0.512%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.08%30.43%30.69%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.063.103.3036.36%32.63%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.37%3.94momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.366%
Kelly +0.489%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.63%25.27%25.46%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.85%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -12.93%E -6.53%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV +1.18%E +0.357%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +1.47%E +0.366%K +0.489%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 10:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV +1.18%E +0.357%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.61%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 10:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.13%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.87%EV -1.28%E -0.396%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 10:47 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -12.62%E -4.43%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 10:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -0.969%E -0.300%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.86%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 10:46 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -10.47%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -10.47%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| BetUS | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 10:39 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 10:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -0.356%E -0.109%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -6.34%E -2.97%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -9.70%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -13.37%E -6.79%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -15.69%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-30 10:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.89%E -0.590%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -14.15%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.22%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -7.65%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.49%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 10:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 10:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.81%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.06%EV -15.69%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.01%E -8.38%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -11.70%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.36%E -6.89%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-05-30 10:36 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97% | 0.0% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 10:50 |