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Henan FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Henan FC (Local)
Prediction 47.43%2.11fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.883%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.82%47.48%47.26%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.952.0755.56%50.99%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.60%4.06fair odd
EV +0.873%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%24.68%24.61%28.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.653.704.1032.26%27.42%27.06%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.97%3.58fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.841%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%27.84%28.13%28.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.30%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 47.43%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 24.60%; Draw: 27.97%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.873%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -13.21%E -7.22%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.873%E +0.213%K +0.281%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV +0.135%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.35%EV -5.18%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.61%EV -5.62%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.71%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.61%EV -5.62%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.71%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-16 11:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.61%EV -5.62%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.71%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-16 11:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -7.05%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.48%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.74%EV -3.06%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.30%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-16 11:29 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.30%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-16 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -14.63%E -8.13%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-16 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -9.89%E -5.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.47%E -4.39%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.96%EV -9.21%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.33%EV -5.74%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-16 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.10%E -0.601%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-16 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.94%E -4.66%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.05%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.30%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.17%EV -9.89%E -5.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-16 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-16 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-16 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-16 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -1.83%E -0.883%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -17.58%E -5.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -1.83%E -0.883%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -17.58%E -5.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -1.83%E -0.883%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -17.58%E -5.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -1.83%E -0.883%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -17.58%E -5.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -1.83%E -0.883%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -17.58%E -5.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -1.83%E -0.883%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -17.58%E -5.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.06%EV -12.74%E -6.92%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.68%EV -18.81%E -5.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -21.27%E -6.65%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.12%EV -7.05%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -22.50%E -7.14%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.99%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -23.73%E -7.65%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-16 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.99%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -23.73%E -7.65%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-16 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-10-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.0% | 2026-10-16 11:25 |