L’École des cotes

Henan FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 11:35 UTC

Score final : Henan FC 1–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 37.54%2.66cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.483%
Kelly -0.779%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.00%37.60%37.44%39.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.452.6343.48%40.99%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.38%2.91cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.703%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.53%34.35%34.36%35.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.712.702.8541.67%36.90%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.08%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.496%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.05%28.20%30.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.253.253.5035.71%30.72%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.62%EV -1.27%E -0.483%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%EV -5.79%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 11:20
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 11:29
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 11:30
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.27%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 11:28
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -4.65%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.99%EV -8.19%E -3.07%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.23%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 11:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.74%E -0.496%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 10:39
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 11:10
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 11:29
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 11:10
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 37.58%EV -6.53%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -5.39%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 10:39
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.53%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.72%E -3.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 11:28
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.85%E -2.93%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 11:29
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.85%E -2.93%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 10:29
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 11:29
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 11:29
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 11:19
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 11:20
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 11:09
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 11:29
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-27 11:30
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:28
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 11:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -17.48%E -7.28%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -21.39%E -7.64%K -11.88%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-27 10:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:49
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:49
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:49
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:49
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:50
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 10:49
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-27 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-27 10:20
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -11.78%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -11.78%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 10:49
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 10:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-27 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.04%E -5.62%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-27 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00%0.0%2026-06-27 11:29
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.26%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-06-27 11:27
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-06-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-06-27 11:30