La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Henan FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Henan FC (Local)
Predicción 37.54%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.483%
Kelly -0.779%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.00%37.60%37.44%39.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.6343.48%40.99%40.82%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 34.38%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.703%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.53%34.35%34.36%35.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.712.702.8541.67%36.90%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.08%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.496%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%28.05%28.20%30.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.253.253.5035.71%30.72%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.62%EV -1.27%E -0.483%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%EV -5.79%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-27 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| BetUS | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.27%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -4.65%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.99%EV -8.19%E -3.07%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.23%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.74%E -0.496%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 11:10 |
| GTbets | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.58%EV -6.53%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -5.39%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.53%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.72%E -3.37%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.85%E -2.93%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.85%E -2.93%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 10:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-27 11:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.35%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -17.48%E -7.28%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -21.39%E -7.64%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-06-27 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -2.00%E -0.703%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-27 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-27 10:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -11.78%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -11.78%E -5.01%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.16%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-27 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.66%E -5.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.04%E -5.62%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -8.75%E -2.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-06-27 11:29 |
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.26% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 0.1% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 11:27 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 11:30 |