La scuola delle quote

Henan FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Inizio: 2026-04-11 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Henan FC (Casa)

Previsione 45.76%2.19quota equa
EV +2.04%
Vantaggio +0.917%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.034%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.17%45.53%45.72%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.062.022.2352.63%48.65%49.50%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.24%3.54quota equa
EV +1.66%
Vantaggio +0.462%
Kelly +0.639%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.00%28.50%28.27%32.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.153.233.6035.71%31.77%31.01%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.00%3.85quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -0.666%
Kelly -0.908%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.11%25.96%26.01%28.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.493.453.7533.33%28.64%28.99%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV +0.672%E +0.305%K +0.560%G +0.004%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -0.701%E -0.323%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -20.93%E -7.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 10:55
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -0.701%E -0.323%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -20.93%E -7.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 10:55
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.07%EV -4.36%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.57%E -0.746%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 11:25
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 46.15%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.75%EV -3.54%E -0.953%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:15
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:07
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:14
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:24
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:29
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -6.65%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -6.65%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:30
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -6.65%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.60%EV -8.02%E -3.99%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:24
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -6.25%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:15
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.40%E -4.75%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:19
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +1.66%E +0.462%K +0.639%G +0.011%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.14%E -6.32%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.87%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 11:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -12.60%E -6.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -12.60%E -6.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -22.00%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -13.06%E -6.87%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-11 11:30