La escuela de los momios

Henan FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Predicción 45.76%2.19momio equitativo
EV +2.04%
Ventaja +0.917%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.17%45.53%45.72%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.062.022.2352.63%48.65%49.50%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.24%3.54momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.462%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%28.50%28.27%32.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.233.6035.71%31.77%31.01%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -0.908%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.11%25.96%26.01%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.453.7533.33%28.64%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:55
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.17%EV +2.04%E +0.917%K +1.66%G +0.034%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV +0.672%E +0.305%K +0.560%G +0.004%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -19.52%E -6.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -0.701%E -0.323%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -20.93%E -7.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 10:55
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -0.701%E -0.323%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -20.93%E -7.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 10:55
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.07%EV -4.36%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.57%E -0.746%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 11:25
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 46.15%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.75%EV -3.54%E -0.953%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:15
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:07
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:14
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:24
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:29
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -6.65%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -6.65%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:30
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -6.65%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.60%EV -8.02%E -3.99%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:24
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -6.25%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:15
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 11:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.40%E -4.75%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:19
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +1.66%E +0.462%K +0.639%G +0.011%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.14%E -6.32%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.87%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.30%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 11:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -12.60%E -6.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -12.60%E -6.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -22.00%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -13.06%E -6.87%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-11 11:30