The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Henan FC v Beijing FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:30 UTC

Final: Henan FC 3–4 Beijing FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henan FC (Local)

Prediction 36.15%2.77fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%35.90%36.29%37.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.592.552.8542.02%38.64%39.22%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Beijing FC (Visit)

Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV +0.525%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.320%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.93%38.27%38.00%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.6447.62%41.85%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.77%3.88fair odd
EV -0.777%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.273%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%25.83%25.70%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.553.8530.30%28.30%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 36.15%; Beijing FC (Visit): 38.08%; Draw: 25.77%. For Henan FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV +3.03%E +1.06%K +1.64%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 07:10
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV +3.03%E +1.06%K +1.64%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV +3.03%E +1.06%K +1.64%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV +3.03%E +1.06%K +1.64%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 07:10
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV +3.03%E +1.06%K +1.64%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 07:10
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV +3.03%E +1.06%K +1.64%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -0.587%E -0.214%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -15.09%E -6.77%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 07:10
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -2.03%E -0.750%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.79%EV -8.23%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.80%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -2.39%E -0.887%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.66%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.22%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.33%EV -10.90%E -4.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 06:54
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.21%EV -4.43%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV -4.90%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.70%EV -3.48%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -6.33%E -2.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 07:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.49%EV -17.75%E -8.22%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-24 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -4.20%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.49%EV -17.75%E -8.22%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-24 07:10
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -0.777%E -0.202%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 07:20
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 07:10
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 07:09
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 07:25
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 07:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.35%E -0.894%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 07:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.94%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.87%EV -7.85%E -3.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.80%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 07:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 07:20
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -7.85%E -3.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 07:09
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -7.85%E -3.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 07:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.35%EV -8.18%E -3.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.93%EV +0.525%E +0.199%K +0.320%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.35%EV -8.18%E -3.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.93%EV +0.525%E +0.199%K +0.320%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 07:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:20
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:24
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 07:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 07:10
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.80%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.80%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 07:25
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -9.80%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 07:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.38%EV -11.43%E -4.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.10%EV -20.04%E -9.54%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%18.7%2026-10-24 07:10
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.46%EV -13.96%E -5.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.44%EV -16.23%E -7.38%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -7.22%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-24 07:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.98%2.63I 38.02%NM 38.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-10-24 07:25
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-10-24 07:25