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Dalian Yingbo v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dalian Yingbo (Local)
Prediction 59.93%1.67fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.38%59.77%60.00%61.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.551.551.6271.43%64.49%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)
Prediction 17.93%5.58fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.23%18.14%17.92%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.005.005.5023.09%20.01%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.14%4.52fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -0.764%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%22.09%22.08%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.104.104.4026.32%24.38%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 59.93%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 17.93%; Draw: 22.14%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -2.91%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.12%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -2.91%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.12%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 05:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -2.91%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.12%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 05:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -2.91%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.12%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 06:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -2.91%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.12%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 06:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -2.91%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.12%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 06:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.54%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -3.16%E -0.585%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.71%EV -6.58%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.11%E -2.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.59%EV -9.79%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -9.90%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.71%E -2.96%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.92%EV -5.31%E -3.36%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -3.16%E -0.585%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.92%EV -5.31%E -3.36%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -3.16%E -0.585%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -5.31%E -3.36%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.38%EV -8.72%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.43%EV -7.69%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.91%E -3.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 10:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.91%E -3.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.15%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.91%E -3.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.91%E -3.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 10:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.35%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -4.95%E -0.934%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -12.12%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -8.13%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -15.71%E -3.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.50%E -3.81%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.50%E -3.81%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.49%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.50%E -3.81%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-17 06:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -7.71%E -5.01%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -4.95%E -0.934%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 10:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 10:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 10:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -22.35%E -5.16%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-17 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.30%E -4.29%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.30%E -4.29%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 06:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.91%E -5.86%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.54%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -8.13%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.91%E -5.86%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.54%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -8.13%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.91%E -5.86%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -13.92%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.91%E -5.86%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 10:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.11%E -6.74%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.11%E -6.74%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.66%EV -10.11%E -6.74%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -15.71%E -3.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -11.90%E -8.10%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.74%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -2.60%E -0.591%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.36%EV -16.10%E -11.50%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 17.98%EV -15.71%E -3.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.67%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-10-17 10:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |