L’École des cotes

Dalian Yingbo v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-28 11:00 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 1–4 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 42.62%2.35cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.50%42.61%42.61%43.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.17%45.87%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.22%3.01cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.30%33.32%33.22%34.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.762.9240.00%36.22%36.17%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.16%4.14cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.351%
Kelly +0.460%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%24.07%24.17%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.804.2027.78%26.23%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%5.6%2026-06-28 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:30
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.96%E -4.95%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-28 10:49
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.00%EV -7.31%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -3.84%E -0.965%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:19
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV -4.33%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 10:50
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.48%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:49
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.48%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 10:19
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -5.29%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 10:49
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 10:39
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 10:49
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.96%E -4.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 10:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-28 10:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 10:29
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.97%EV -6.65%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -7.22%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 10:50
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 10:48
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:29
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:19
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:19
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.41%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.64%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 10:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.41%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.64%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 10:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 10:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 10:40
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-28 10:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 10:29
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.37%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 10:19
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.23%EV -7.52%E -3.47%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-28 10:20
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -16.94%E -6.78%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-06-28 10:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 10:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-28 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-28 10:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -12.63%E -6.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.62%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 10:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 10:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.27%EV -9.65%E -4.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.19%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-28 10:19
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.27%EV -9.65%E -4.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.19%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-28 10:19
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-28 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-06-28 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-06-28 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-06-28 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-06-28 10:50