La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inicio: 2026-06-28 11:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 1–4 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 42.62%2.35momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.50%42.61%42.61%43.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.17%45.87%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.22%3.01momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.30%33.32%33.22%34.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.762.9240.00%36.22%36.17%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.16%4.14momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.351%
Kelly +0.460%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.54%24.07%24.17%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.813.804.2027.78%26.23%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%5.6%2026-06-28 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:30
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.96%E -4.95%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-28 10:49
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.00%EV -7.31%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -3.84%E -0.965%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:19
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV -4.33%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 10:50
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.48%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:49
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.48%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 10:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 10:19
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -5.29%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 10:49
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 10:39
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 10:49
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.96%E -4.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 10:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-28 10:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 10:29
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.97%EV -6.65%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -7.22%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 10:50
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 10:48
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:29
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:19
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:19
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 10:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.41%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.64%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 10:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.41%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.64%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 10:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 10:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 10:40
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-28 10:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 10:29
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.37%EV -7.09%E -3.25%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 10:19
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.23%EV -7.52%E -3.47%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-28 10:20
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -16.94%E -6.78%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-06-28 10:39
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 10:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-28 10:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-28 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-28 10:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -12.63%E -6.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.62%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 10:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 10:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.27%EV -9.65%E -4.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.19%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-28 10:19
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.27%EV -9.65%E -4.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.19%EV -10.30%E -3.81%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-28 10:19
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-28 10:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-06-28 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-06-28 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-06-28 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-06-28 10:50