Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo v Liaoning Tieren FC

2026-08-08 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prediction 59.78%1.67fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -8.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.91%59.83%59.72%60.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.541.5967.11%64.57%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.18%5.21fair odd
EV +0.674%
Edge +0.128%
Kelly +0.159%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%19.07%19.16%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.824.805.2524.39%20.77%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.04%4.75fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.31%21.10%21.12%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.344.354.6424.39%23.04%22.99%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 59.78%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 19.18%; Draw: 21.04%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.25, producing a positive expected value of +0.674%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV +0.674%E +0.128%K +0.159%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 09:29
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.674%E +0.128%K +0.159%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 09:29
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.285%E -0.055%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 09:30
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.94%E -3.11%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.97%EV -3.35%E -0.665%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.88%EV -3.63%E -0.793%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 09:20
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -4.12%E -0.824%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 09:27
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.33%E -6.88%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.12%E -0.824%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 09:30
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.23%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -6.04%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 09:19
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.64%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.04%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -10.58%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 09:30
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.27%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.31%EV -2.37%E -0.511%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 09:30
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -5.54%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.23%EV -6.42%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.38%EV -7.63%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 09:25
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 11:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 10:59
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 11:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -8.47%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 09:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -8.47%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 09:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:39
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:39
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:39
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.77%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.58%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 09:49
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.24%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.92%EV -12.75%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -8.47%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 09:50
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.33%E -6.88%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -17.54%E -4.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 09:50
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.91%EV -10.92%E -7.33%K -22.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -21.38%E -5.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 09:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%4.2%2026-08-02 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%4.2%2026-08-02 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%4.2%2026-08-02 14:35