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Dalian Yingbo v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dalian Yingbo (Local)
Prediction 61.56%1.62fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.943%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%61.33%61.50%62.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.31%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 17.51%5.71fair odd
EV -0.006%
Edge -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.37%17.64%17.56%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.105.205.7122.22%19.62%19.23%17.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.93%4.78fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.614%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.37%21.03%20.94%22.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.334.6725.00%23.26%23.09%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalian Yingbo (Local): 61.56%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 17.51%; Draw: 20.93%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.7103. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.7100, with an expected value of -0.006%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -1.51%E -0.943%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -17.69%E -3.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -1.51%E -0.943%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -17.69%E -3.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -1.51%E -0.943%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -17.69%E -3.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -1.51%E -0.943%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -17.69%E -3.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -1.51%E -0.943%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -17.69%E -3.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -1.51%E -0.943%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -17.69%E -3.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -1.51%E -0.943%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -17.69%E -3.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.56%EV -2.74%E -1.73%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.69%EV -5.26%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -3.36%E -2.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -19.44%E -4.23%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -3.97%E -2.55%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -21.20%E -4.71%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.28%E -4.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -3.97%E -2.55%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -21.20%E -4.71%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.28%E -4.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -4.59%E -2.96%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -8.94%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.84%EV -0.356%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.52%EV -2.25%E -0.482%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.68%E -0.670%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -3.72%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.68%E -0.670%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.06%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -7.19%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -19.44%E -4.23%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.28%E -4.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -19.44%E -4.23%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.28%E -4.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -6.43%E -4.23%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -1.93%E -0.345%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -6.43%E -4.23%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.68%E -0.670%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -6.43%E -4.23%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.68%E -0.670%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -6.43%E -4.23%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.68%E -0.670%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.43%E -4.23%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.06%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -7.19%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.06%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -11.04%E -2.60%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.43%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -7.19%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.43%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -7.19%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -8.94%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.06%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.06%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.06%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.08%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -8.94%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.00%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.72%EV -8.28%E -5.56%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.37%EV -0.006%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -6.44%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -8.28%E -5.56%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.62%EV -8.90%E -6.01%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -4.56%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.76%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 11:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.91%EV -9.51%E -6.47%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.90%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.00%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.51%E -6.47%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.45% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.1% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
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