L’École des cotes

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Zhejiang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 11:00 UTC

Score final : Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1–1 Zhejiang

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prévision 36.50%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.848%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.15%36.53%36.55%38.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.522.7043.48%39.47%39.68%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zhejiang (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.10%2.77cote équitable
EV +0.360%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.202%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.04%36.00%36.38%38.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.552.542.7842.02%39.27%39.45%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.694%
Kelly -0.965%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.05%27.47%27.07%29.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.5632.26%29.71%29.41%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.04%EV +0.360%E +0.130%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 10:55
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.04%EV +0.360%E +0.130%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 10:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.04%EV +0.360%E +0.130%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 10:55
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67%EV -1.44%E -0.534%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.41%EV -1.81%E -0.664%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.92%EV -8.77%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 10:50
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -2.53%E -0.936%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:55
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%EV -11.66%E -4.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.05%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.29%EV -2.47%E -0.694%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 10:55
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -8.01%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.82%EV -3.97%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -10.69%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 10:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.33%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 10:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.33%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 10:55
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -4.33%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -15.07%E -4.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 10:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 10:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 10:55
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.27%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 10:39
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 10:40
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.01%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.86%E -2.66%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 10:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 10:05
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 10:40
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 10:39
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 10:39
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 10:55
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.01%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -9.03%E -3.58%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 10:40
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:55
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:40
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-18 10:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-18 10:40
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -4.00%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -4.00%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -4.00%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 21:50
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -4.00%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 21:54
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -4.00%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 21:50
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -4.00%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 21:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 10:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -4.00%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -12.28%E -5.05%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -13.36%E -5.57%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-15 21:50
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -13.36%E -5.57%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-18 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -14.08%E -5.92%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-15 21:50
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -14.08%E -5.92%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-15 21:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.12%EV -16.04%E -6.98%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.84%EV -14.08%E -5.92%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 10:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 37.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.29%-1.0%2026-07-18 10:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-07-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-07-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.55%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-07-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.55%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-07-18 10:55