Language:English
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prediction 36.83%2.71fair odd
EV -0.546%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.321%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.65%36.73%36.87%39.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.522.502.7046.51%39.68%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV +0.036%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.020%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%35.61%35.46%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.572.552.8242.55%38.94%39.22%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.66%27.68%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.5232.26%30.06%29.85%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 36.83%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 35.47%; Draw: 27.69%. For Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.819. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.820, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.036%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -5.70%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.15%EV +0.036%E +0.013%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -5.57%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.20%EV -4.60%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.54%EV -1.03%E -0.369%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.26%EV -5.57%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -2.45%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -2.80%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -2.80%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.56%EV -3.86%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.87%EV -5.64%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.58%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 09:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.99%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.99%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.99%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -5.99%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.25%EV -6.81%E -2.69%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.97%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.78%EV -2.53%E -0.718%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 11:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.54%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -7.18%E -2.85%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -9.54%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 10:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.54%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.54%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 10:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.54%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.54%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.546%E -0.202%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.546%E -0.202%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.546%E -0.202%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.546%E -0.202%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.546%E -0.202%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.546%E -0.202%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.75%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.33%E -5.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.16%EV -20.81%E -9.68%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.68%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.16%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -13.09%E -5.34%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 09:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -13.09%E -5.34%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -13.80%E -5.68%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.35%EV -15.57%E -6.54%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -16.64%E -7.08%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -16.64%E -7.08%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |