The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:30 UTC

Final: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2–0 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prediction 77.59%1.29fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -15.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.73%77.42%77.56%79.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.191.201.2490.09%83.84%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)

Prediction 8.18%12.22fair odd
EV +6.34%
Edge +0.488%
Kelly +0.528%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.06%8.18%8.21%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.2511.1813.0011.11%8.89%8.94%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.23%7.03fair odd
EV -0.357%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.45%14.40%14.23%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.266.257.0018.18%15.98%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 77.59%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 8.18%; Draw: 14.23%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.22. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +6.34%E +0.488%K +0.528%G +0.033%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.92%E -0.580%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 07:24
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -9.23%E -7.88%K -54.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +6.34%E +0.488%K +0.528%G +0.033%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 07:25
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -9.23%E -7.88%K -54.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +6.34%E +0.488%K +0.528%G +0.033%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 07:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.48%EV -9.23%E -7.88%K -54.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV +6.34%E +0.488%K +0.528%G +0.033%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.46%EV -9.61%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 07:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%EV -3.79%E -3.06%K -15.81%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.56%EV +3.89%E +0.306%K +0.332%G +0.013%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.98%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 07:20
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.45%EV -6.12%E -5.06%K -29.15%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.56%EV +1.43%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -11.03%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 07:25
picklebet_au🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.357%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 07:25
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.67%E -6.45%K -40.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 07:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 07:24
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.23%E -7.88%K -54.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -11.55%E -10.13%K -82.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -1.84%E -0.153%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.45%EV -4.63%E -0.691%K -0.812%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 07:15
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.30%EV -6.12%E -5.06%K -29.15%G +0.000%11.95I 8.37%NM 7.93%EV -2.25%E -0.188%K -0.205%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.77%EV -2.06%E -0.300%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 07:15
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -7.67%E -6.45%K -40.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -5.93%E -0.516%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 07:25
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.78%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%11.37I 8.80%NM 8.35%EV -6.99%E -0.615%K -0.674%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.87%EV -2.63%E -0.385%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 07:20
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.12%E -5.06%K -29.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -10.02%E -0.911%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.357%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 07:19
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -10.02%E -0.911%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -11.03%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.44%EV -7.67%E -6.45%K -40.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -10.02%E -0.911%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 07:25
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.45%E -7.16%K -46.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -10.02%E -0.911%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.42%EV -8.45%E -7.16%K -46.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -10.02%E -0.911%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -8.90%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 07:15
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.72%EV -7.67%E -6.45%K -40.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -10.02%E -0.911%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -20.29%E -3.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.87%EV -8.45%E -7.16%K -46.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -10.02%E -0.911%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -20.29%E -3.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 07:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.86%EV -5.35%E -4.38%K -24.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -6.05%E -0.917%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.01%EV -6.12%E -5.06%K -29.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -6.05%E -0.917%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:25
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -8.45%E -7.16%K -46.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 07:20
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.76%EV -8.45%E -7.16%K -46.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.61%EV -11.74%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.76%EV -8.45%E -7.16%K -46.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.61%EV -11.74%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -9.23%E -7.88%K -54.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.68%EV -10.00%E -8.62%K -62.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -21.71%E -3.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.68%EV -10.00%E -8.62%K -62.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -14.11%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -21.71%E -3.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 07:10
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -4.57%E -3.72%K -19.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -18.20%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.03%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -18.20%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%EV -8.45%E -7.16%K -46.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -18.20%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -3.92%E -0.580%K -0.681%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -18.20%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -21.71%E -3.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 07:19
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.23%E -7.88%K -54.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -18.20%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -9.23%E -7.88%K -54.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -22.29%E -2.35%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -7.47%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 76.24%EV -13.88%E -12.50%K -126.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.91%EV -22.29%E -2.35%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.85%EV -18.86%E -3.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -26.38%E -2.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 07:20
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -26.38%E -2.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.59%E -2.43%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 07:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.27%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.39%0.9%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.98%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.71%1.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.75%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.57%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.75%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.57%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-10-24 07:25
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.43%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.84%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%2.0%2026-10-24 07:15

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