Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Dalian Yingbo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 12:00 UTC

Score final : Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0–1 Dalian Yingbo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prévision 42.16%2.37cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.47%42.15%42.11%44.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.45%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.56%3.38cote équitable
EV -0.083%
Avantage -0.025%
Kelly -0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.70%29.58%29.55%31.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.103.103.3835.71%32.27%32.26%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.705%
Kelly -0.993%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%28.27%28.34%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.253.4533.33%30.68%30.82%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local) : 42.16% ; Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur) : 29.56% ; Match nul : 28.28%. Pour Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.383. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.380, pour une espérance de -0.083% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78%EV -6.11%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 11:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:04
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:05
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:05
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:04
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.55%EV -4.72%E -2.09%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.41%EV -3.33%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -3.00%E -0.874%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:49
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:48
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 11:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:48
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:50
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 11:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:50
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 05:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.15%EV -7.67%E -3.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.15%EV -7.67%E -3.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.09%E -3.71%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.99%EV -8.52%E -3.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -15.75%E -5.53%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 05:49
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:50
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.79%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 11:50
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -9.78%E -4.57%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -0.083%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -7.24%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.92%EV -9.78%E -4.57%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 05:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.92%EV -9.78%E -4.57%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 05:49
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -10.62%E -5.01%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 11:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 11:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-08-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-08-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-08-23 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-08-23 11:50
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-08-23 11:50