Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 42.16%; Dalian Yingbo (Visitante): 29.56%; Empate: 28.28%. Para Dalian Yingbo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.383. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.380, con un valor esperado de -0.083%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78%EV -6.11%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.55%EV -4.72%E -2.09%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.41%EV -3.33%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -3.00%E -0.874%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.14%E -2.29%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 05:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.15%EV -7.67%E -3.50%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.15%EV -7.67%E -3.50%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.09%E -3.71%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.99%EV -8.52%E -3.92%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -15.75%E -5.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 05:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.79%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -9.78%E -4.57%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -0.083%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -7.24%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.92%EV -9.78%E -4.57%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-22 05:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.92%EV -9.78%E -4.57%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-22 05:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -10.62%E -5.01%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 11:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-23 11:39 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |