La scuola delle quote

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Inizio: 2026-03-15 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Casa)

Previsione 73.11%1.37quota equa
EV -4.96%
Vantaggio -3.82%
Kelly -16.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.09%72.93%73.10%74.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.261.251.3086.96%79.55%80.00%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.17%9.83quota equa
EV +6.82%
Vantaggio +0.650%
Kelly +0.718%
Crescita +0.049%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.18%10.24%10.19%12.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.258.969.0010.5013.79%11.15%11.11%9.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.72%5.98quota equa
EV +0.324%
Vantaggio +0.054%
Kelly +0.065%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.71%16.84%16.71%19.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.415.506.0022.22%18.49%18.18%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.75%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +6.82%E +0.650%K +0.718%G +0.049%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV +0.324%E +0.054%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.75%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +6.82%E +0.650%K +0.718%G +0.049%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV +0.324%E +0.054%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 11:10
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +1.74%E +0.174%K +0.193%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +1.74%E +0.174%K +0.193%G +0.003%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -11.38%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:30
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.80%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.54%G +0.000%9.93I 10.07%NM 9.66%EV +1.02%E +0.103%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.54%EV -3.02%E -0.521%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 11:30
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -6.42%E -5.02%K -22.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -3.35%E -0.353%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.86%E -0.671%K -0.812%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:20
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -3.35%E -0.353%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 11:24
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -3.35%E -0.353%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:08
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -7.16%E -5.63%K -26.50%G +0.000%9.34I 10.71%NM 10.00%EV -4.98%E -0.533%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.47%EV -5.19%E -0.916%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 11:30
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 73.45%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.33%G +0.000%9.34I 10.71%NM 9.91%EV -4.98%E -0.533%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.64%EV -7.03%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:15
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.50%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.33%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.96%EV -5.38%E -0.579%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:20
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.00%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -5.89%E -0.637%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 11:25
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.15%EV -5.89%E -0.637%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.42%E -5.02%K -22.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 11:25
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -7.16%E -5.63%K -26.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:25
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 11:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 11:30
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 11:30
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -7.16%E -5.63%K -26.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:25
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:09
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:09
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:09
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:10
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:10
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.36%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 14:10
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.99%EV -9.35%E -7.54%K -38.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -3.02%E -0.521%K -0.629%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.04%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 14:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -6.42%E -5.02%K -22.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -18.90%E -3.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:30
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -10.08%E -8.20%K -43.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -9.71%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -10.08%E -8.20%K -43.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -9.71%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 14:09
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.81%E -8.86%K -49.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.81%E -8.86%K -49.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -8.44%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -24.76%E -5.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 10:45
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -7.16%E -5.63%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.56%EV -10.47%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -4.69%E -0.823%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 11:25
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.15%EV -7.16%E -5.63%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.56%EV -10.47%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -4.69%E -0.823%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 11:25
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.47%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.33%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.62%EV -12.51%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -9.71%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 11:25
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -13.52%E -1.59%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:25
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -13.52%E -1.59%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 11:25
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 73.24%EV -15.93%E -13.85%K -106.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.91%EV -13.52%E -1.59%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.85%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-15 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.90%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -18.61%E -2.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -3.02%E -0.521%K -0.629%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 11:25
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.61%E -2.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.61%E -2.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.22%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 10:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.89%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.61%E -2.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 71.86%EV -13.00%E -10.93%K -68.44%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.03%EV -21.15%E -2.73%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -16.40%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 11:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 71.35%EV -11.54%E -9.54%K -54.96%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.21%EV -21.66%E -2.81%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.44%EV -17.23%E -3.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.34%EV -10.08%E -8.20%K -43.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -26.24%E -3.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -11.38%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-03-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-03-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-03-15 11:25
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-03-15 11:25
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-03-15 11:30