The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Dalian Yingbo

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:30 UTC

Final: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 0–1 Dalian Yingbo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prediction 49.03%2.04fair odd
EV -0.950%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.00%49.15%49.00%52.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.891.902.0258.14%52.88%52.63%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visit)

Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV +4.71%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%26.09%26.29%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.493.504.0032.79%28.65%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -0.853%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.69%24.76%24.71%26.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.674.0029.41%27.30%27.21%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 49.03%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 26.18%; Draw: 24.79%. For Dalian Yingbo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -11.25%E -6.21%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +4.71%E +1.18%K +1.57%G +0.074%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 07:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +2.10%E +0.538%K +0.723%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.522%E -0.137%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -15.66%E -9.10%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -0.522%E -0.137%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 07:25
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.23%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.07%EV -1.05%E -0.276%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -0.853%E -0.213%K -0.284%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 07:20
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -3.14%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -11.74%E -6.52%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.14%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -11.74%E -6.52%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.14%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -4.45%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 07:25
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -5.50%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.84%EV -1.10%E -0.276%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 07:15
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 07:20
picklebet_au🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 07:25
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:25
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.05%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.05%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 07:25
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:25
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.61%EV -7.59%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -8.80%E -4.73%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:14
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 07:25
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 07:20
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 07:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -8.80%E -4.73%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 07:20
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.78%E -5.31%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.30%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.950%E -0.470%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 11:16
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.950%E -0.470%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 11:16
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.950%E -0.470%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 11:15
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.950%E -0.470%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 11:16
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.950%E -0.470%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 11:15
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.950%E -0.470%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 11:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 49.33%EV -15.66%E -9.10%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.96%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-24 07:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.52%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.23%E -5.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-24 07:24
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -17.54%E -5.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 11:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -18.85%E -6.08%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-22 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.01%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -20.16%E -6.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -14.49%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-22 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.01%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -20.16%E -6.61%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -14.49%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-22 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-10-24 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.1%2026-10-24 07:25