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Beijing FC v Qingdao West Coast FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beijing FC (Local)
Prediction 68.15%1.47fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -7.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.71%68.23%68.05%70.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.361.361.4279.37%73.72%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)
Prediction 13.82%7.24fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +0.482%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.62%13.85%13.94%15.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.586.507.5018.18%15.21%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.04%5.54fair odd
EV +4.61%
Edge +0.795%
Kelly +0.960%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.98%17.92%18.00%19.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.035.005.8021.74%19.90%20.00%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 68.15%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 13.82%; Draw: 18.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -10.73%E -8.19%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV +4.61%E +0.795%K +0.960%G +0.044% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +0.162%E +0.022%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.47%EV +2.81%E +0.492%K +0.597%G +0.017% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 10:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -0.801%E -0.146%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.62%E +0.482%K +0.556%G +0.020% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.801%E -0.146%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 10:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.05%EV -11.41%E -8.77%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.39%EV -6.06%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -0.801%E -0.146%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV +3.62%E +0.482%K +0.556%G +0.020% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.25%EV -0.981%E -0.179%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -6.64%E -4.84%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -4.41%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -6.64%E -4.84%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -4.41%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 10:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -6.64%E -4.84%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -4.41%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.97%EV -6.64%E -4.84%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.03%EV +0.162%E +0.022%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -5.31%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.64%E -4.84%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.31%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.31%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -13.65%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -6.21%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.36%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -17.11%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -6.21%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -3.23%E -2.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.32%EV -8.13%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -7.83%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -8.68%E -6.48%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.24%EV -18.49%E -3.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.64%E -4.84%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -5.96%E -4.32%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 10:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.66%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.94%EV -8.82%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 10:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.36%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -11.58%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 10:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 10:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.41%E -8.77%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 10:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.41%E -8.77%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -11.58%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -10.72%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -11.58%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -10.72%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.62%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 10:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -20.56%E -3.58%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -20.56%E -3.58%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 13.95%EV -7.16%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.57%EV -13.61%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 10:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -24.02%E -4.37%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-18 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.36%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -13.65%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -15.23%E -3.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-13 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 67.33%EV -14.13%E -11.22%K -54.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.63%EV -19.87%E -3.43%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.05%EV -15.23%E -3.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-10-18 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.00%E -5.93%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -13.65%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -17.03%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.52%EV -10.04%E -7.61%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -15.73%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -17.03%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.52%EV -10.04%E -7.61%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -15.73%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -17.03%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 0.3% | 2026-10-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.90% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.68% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.68% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 10:55 |