Idioma:Español
Universidad de Concepción v Universidad de Chile
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Concepción (Local)
Predicción 20.01%5.00momio equitativo
EV +4.45%
Ventaja +0.852%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.06%19.93%20.01%21.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.574.505.2223.81%21.87%22.22%19.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Universidad de Chile (Visitante)
Predicción 55.07%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.08%55.08%55.09%57.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.66%59.88%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.92%4.01momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.524%
Kelly -0.703%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%24.98%24.90%26.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.643.603.9329.41%27.49%27.78%25.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 20.01%; Universidad de Chile (Visitante): 55.07%; Empate: 24.92%. Para Universidad de Concepción (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.00. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.22, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.45%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.38%EV +4.45%E +0.852%K +1.05%G +0.047% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.10%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV -6.30%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.044%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +0.044%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV +0.044%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -13.54%E -8.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -1.96%E -0.399%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -1.96%E -0.399%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -9.69%E -5.91%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.66%EV -3.56%E -0.738%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.81%E -0.720%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.49%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.43%EV -2.06%E -0.524%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.79%EV -8.58%E -5.17%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.31%EV -8.58%E -5.17%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 07:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.71%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.71%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -11.34%E -7.04%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -11.34%E -7.04%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -9.69%E -5.91%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.69%E -5.91%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -10.96%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.20%EV -12.44%E -7.82%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -13.96%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -13.96%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.26%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.86%EV -14.96%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.08%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.86%EV -14.96%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.08%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.96%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -15.96%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |