The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Universidad de Concepción v O'Higgins

2026-11-08 23:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.27%31.21%31.63%32.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.33%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 39.86%2.51fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.41%39.69%39.70%41.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.282.292.4246.73%43.89%43.57%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.87%29.10%28.67%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.183.203.3634.48%31.43%31.25%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 31.51%; O'Higgins (Visit): 39.86%; Draw: 28.63%. For Universidad de Concepción (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -2.31%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.31%E -0.746%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.41%EV -3.55%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.61%EV -15.82%E -5.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-04 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.31%E -0.746%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.41%EV -3.55%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.61%EV -15.82%E -5.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-04 00:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -2.31%E -0.746%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -16.97%E -5.85%K -8.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-04 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-03 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-03 23:20
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-03 23:20
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-03 23:20
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-03 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.13%EV -6.72%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.24%EV -8.73%E -3.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.62%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-04 00:14
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.54%EV -13.91%E -6.44%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-03 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -14.71%E -6.87%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-03 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -14.71%E -6.87%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-03 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.99%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 00:30
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-03 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-03 23:05
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.23%EV -11.45%E -4.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.90%EV -9.52%E -4.20%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-04 00:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-03 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-03 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-04 00:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-04 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-04 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-04 00:10
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-03 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-11-04 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 32.69%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%4.7%2026-11-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.08%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%5.3%2026-11-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.08%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%5.3%2026-11-04 01:05