The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Universidad de Concepción v Huachipato

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prediction 46.57%2.15fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.84%46.35%46.57%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.012.002.0753.48%49.84%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huachipato (Visit)

Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV +0.993%
Edge +0.268%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.94%27.26%27.32%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.203.7132.26%30.21%31.25%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.39%26.11%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.453.7131.25%29.03%28.99%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 46.57%; Huachipato (Visit): 27.22%; Draw: 26.21%. For Huachipato (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.993%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.12%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV +0.993%E +0.268%K +0.366%G +0.004%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -2.76%E -0.743%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -9.19%E -4.72%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.21%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 15:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 09:29
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 09:30
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 09:30
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.22%EV -10.59%E -5.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.51%EV -6.90%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:15
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.58%EV -3.61%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.00%EV -8.26%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.43%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 14:14
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 15:34
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 08:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -16.12%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -16.12%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -16.12%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 05:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -12.92%E -6.91%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 09:29
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.