Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.28
assuming max odds 3.15
assuming max odds 3.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 42.12%; Huachipato (Visit): 30.90%; Draw: 26.98%. For Huachipato (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -2.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.19%EV -3.98%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -2.97%E -0.945%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -4.48%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.59%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.93%E -3.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.71%EV -7.77%E -3.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.57%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -8.19%E -3.76%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -9.03%E -4.18%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -9.03%E -4.18%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -9.03%E -4.18%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -9.03%E -4.18%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -9.03%E -4.18%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 22:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.87%E -4.61%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.61%EV -11.14%E -5.28%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -3.58%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.90%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -12.40%E -5.96%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-01 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.27%EV -13.24%E -6.43%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-01 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.27%EV -13.24%E -6.43%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-01 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.66%E -6.67%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |