Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Concepción v Everton de Viña del Mar

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prediction 42.71%2.34fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.86%42.71%45.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.122.102.2752.63%47.07%47.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.112%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%27.19%27.62%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.383.333.8534.72%29.57%30.08%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.84%3.35fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.461%
Kelly -0.661%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%29.94%29.68%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.3035.71%33.10%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 42.71%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 27.44%; Draw: 29.84%. For Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.62%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV +5.66%E +1.47%K +1.99%G +0.112%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 13:59
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +2.92%E +0.777%K +1.06%G +0.031%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.96%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:29
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +2.92%E +0.777%K +1.06%G +0.031%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.96%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +2.92%E +0.777%K +1.06%G +0.031%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.96%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +2.92%E +0.777%K +1.06%G +0.031%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.96%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +2.92%E +0.777%K +1.06%G +0.031%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.96%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:29
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +2.92%E +0.777%K +1.06%G +0.031%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.96%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:29
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.10%EV -9.87%E -4.68%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.08%EV +1.82%E +0.490%K +0.671%G +0.012%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -9.88%E -3.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 04:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +1.54%E +0.417%K +0.572%G +0.009%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -8.09%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +1.54%E +0.417%K +0.572%G +0.009%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -8.09%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -10.73%E -5.13%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +1.54%E +0.417%K +0.572%G +0.009%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.66%EV -9.88%E -3.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 04:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.01%E -5.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV +1.54%E +0.417%K +0.572%G +0.009%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 14:29
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.40%EV -3.04%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.15%EV +0.994%E +0.270%K +0.371%G +0.004%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -8.68%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -12.86%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV +0.171%E +0.047%K +0.064%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -14.05%E -4.88%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 14:30
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.14%EV -4.32%E -1.93%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.40%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.05%EV -9.28%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.57%E -7.29%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.49%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 13:29
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.49%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 14:29
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -14.95%E -5.25%K -8.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.17%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 13:29
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -1.52%E -0.461%K -0.661%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.49%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.49%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 13:29
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 13:28
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.49%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 14:14
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.36%EV -11.58%E -5.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.98%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -11.96%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 13:30
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.49%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 13:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.49%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:30
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.09%EV -18.84%E -9.92%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.89%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-01 14:29
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -14.57%E -7.29%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -20.96%E -7.28%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -16.44%E -5.87%K -9.13%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-03-01 14:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-03-01 14:30
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%2.5%2026-03-01 14:29