Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Concepción v Deportes Limache

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 23:01 UTC

Final: Universidad de Concepción 0–1 Deportes Limache

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Concepción (Local)

Prediction 36.61%2.73fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.685%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%36.50%36.61%37.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.82%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.92%37.35%37.18%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.442.452.6246.51%41.04%40.82%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.582%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.15%26.21%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.7630.77%28.61%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Concepción (Local): 36.61%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 37.23%; Draw: 26.17%. For Universidad de Concepción (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.47%EV -1.16%E -0.431%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.42%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 22:27
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.42%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 22:27
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.42%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 22:38
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.42%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 22:38
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.42%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 22:38
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -3.73%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -18.10%E -8.23%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 11:16
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.94%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 22:38
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -16.24%E -7.22%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 22:38
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.02%EV -5.92%E -2.30%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.26%EV -9.91%E -4.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 22:38
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.57%EV -6.29%E -2.46%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.85%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.58%EV -1.61%E -0.427%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.94%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 22:37
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.94%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 22:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -12.52%E -5.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 22:27
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.90%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.90%EV -6.19%E -2.46%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 22:38
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.19%E -2.46%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 22:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.55%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.99%EV -7.31%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.47%EV -8.93%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 22:38
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:48
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.94%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 22:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.12%EV -8.05%E -3.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 22:38
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 22:38
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 22:45
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 22:37
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 22:38
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.40%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 18:35
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.40%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.78%E -4.97%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 18:35
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.78%E -4.97%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -13.64%E -5.88%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-25 22:38
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -8.49%E -3.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -13.64%E -5.88%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-25 22:27
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -9.22%E -3.72%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -2.47%E -0.942%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 22:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -9.22%E -3.72%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -2.47%E -0.942%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 22:38
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -9.22%E -3.72%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -2.47%E -0.942%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 22:38
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 22:37
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 22:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 22:40
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 22:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 22:45
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.15%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.15%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 22:38
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.15%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.51%EV -13.98%E -5.95%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.81%EV -19.97%E -9.29%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.68%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%19.8%2026-10-25 22:38
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -15.81%E -6.87%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.38%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-25 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-10-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-10-25 22:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-10-25 22:38
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-10-25 22:38
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-10-25 22:38
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-10-25 22:50