L’École des cotes

Universidad de Chile v Universidad de Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 23:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Prévision 60.78%1.65cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -6.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.46%60.90%60.73%63.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.511.501.5874.63%66.43%66.45%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.83%6.32cote équitable
EV +2.91%
Avantage +0.448%
Kelly +0.530%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.37%15.77%15.90%17.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.105.785.786.5019.61%17.31%17.32%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.38%4.28cote équitable
EV -0.858%
Avantage -0.202%
Kelly -0.265%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.98%23.33%23.37%25.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.883.804.2430.30%25.78%26.32%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.91%E +0.448%K +0.530%G +0.015%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.06%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.03%EV +1.33%E +0.208%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -1.79%E -0.427%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.35%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.19%EV -0.252%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.46%EV -4.60%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.48%EV -13.69%E -9.64%K -32.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -1.84%E -0.296%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-09 23:00
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.81%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 22:59
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 22:55
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.65%E -7.24%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 23:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-09 23:00
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.99%EV -5.16%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.59%EV -0.858%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:59
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -7.61%E -5.00%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -5.79%E -0.974%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -7.87%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 23:00
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -6.59%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.64%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -6.59%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.64%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 23:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.24%EV -7.85%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.17%EV -4.60%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -8.17%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 23:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 22:59
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 23:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 22:59
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.37%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -15.82%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-09 23:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.34%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 22:58
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.34%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-09 22:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.61%E -5.00%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 23:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-09 22:55
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-09 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-09 22:56
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 22:59
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.27%EV -18.55%E -13.84%K -54.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.17%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.55%EV -13.48%E -3.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.57%EV -14.90%E -10.64%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.16%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -22.84%E -6.92%K -9.93%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-09 22:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -14.50%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.75%EV -13.08%E -9.15%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -16.08%E -3.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-09 22:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -16.88%E -3.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -16.88%E -3.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -16.88%E -3.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.39%EV -11.25%E -7.71%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.29%EV -19.25%E -3.77%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -7.64%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-09 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-03-09 23:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.07%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-03-09 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.81%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%2.1%2026-03-09 23:00