La escuela de los momios

Universidad de Chile v Universidad de Concepción

Inicio: 2026-03-09 23:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Predicción 60.78%1.65momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -6.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.46%60.90%60.73%63.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.511.501.5874.63%66.43%66.45%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Universidad de Concepción (Visitante)

Predicción 15.83%6.32momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +0.448%
Kelly +0.530%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.37%15.77%15.90%17.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.105.785.786.5019.61%17.31%17.32%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.38%4.28momio equitativo
EV -0.858%
Ventaja -0.202%
Kelly -0.265%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.98%23.33%23.37%25.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.883.804.2430.30%25.78%26.32%23.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.91%E +0.448%K +0.530%G +0.015%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.06%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.03%EV +1.33%E +0.208%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV -1.79%E -0.427%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.35%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.19%EV -0.252%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.46%EV -4.60%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.48%EV -13.69%E -9.64%K -32.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -1.84%E -0.296%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-09 23:00
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.81%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 22:59
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 22:55
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 23:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.65%E -7.24%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 23:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -5.00%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-09 23:00
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.99%EV -5.16%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.59%EV -0.858%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:59
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -7.61%E -5.00%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -5.79%E -0.974%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -7.87%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 23:00
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -6.59%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.64%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -6.59%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.64%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 23:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.24%EV -7.85%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.17%EV -4.60%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -8.17%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 23:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 22:59
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 23:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 22:59
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.37%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -15.82%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-09 23:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.34%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 22:58
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.34%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-09 22:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.61%E -5.00%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 23:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-09 22:55
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-09 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-09 22:56
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -12.32%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 22:59
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.27%EV -18.55%E -13.84%K -54.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.17%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.55%EV -13.48%E -3.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.57%EV -14.90%E -10.64%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.16%EV -12.92%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -22.84%E -6.92%K -9.93%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-09 22:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -14.50%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -4.13%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.75%EV -13.08%E -9.15%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -16.08%E -3.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-09 22:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -16.88%E -3.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -16.88%E -3.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -16.88%E -3.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.39%EV -11.25%E -7.71%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.29%EV -19.25%E -3.77%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -7.64%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-09 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-03-09 23:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.07%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-03-09 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.81%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%2.1%2026-03-09 23:00