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Universidad de Chile v O'Higgins

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Prediction 55.85%1.79fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +3.91%
Growth +0.130%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.61%55.19%56.30%57.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.651.661.8567.11%60.63%60.24%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 19.02%5.26fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.444%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 5.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.41%19.51%18.84%22.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.704.605.3624.10%21.30%21.74%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%25.30%24.85%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.593.553.7928.99%27.88%28.17%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 55.85%; O'Higgins (Visit): 19.02%; Draw: 25.13%. For Universidad de Chile (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.61%EV +3.32%E +1.80%K +3.91%G +0.130%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -21.08%E -5.08%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.83%EV -12.29%E -3.52%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 01:55
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.42%E -3.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.29%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:40
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.10%EV -7.29%E -4.39%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.59%EV -4.72%E -0.942%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.51%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.13%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -3.96%E -0.784%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -7.51%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.41%E -5.13%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.81%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 13:47
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.97%EV -10.08%E -6.26%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.41%EV +1.94%E +0.361%K +0.444%G +0.009%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.62%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -10.64%E -6.65%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -11.76%E -7.44%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -6.81%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -12.87%E -8.25%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.52%E -2.72%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 03:15
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.92%EV -13.43%E -8.67%K -24.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -9.66%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -9.52%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-19 07:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.51%EV -16.23%E -10.82%K -32.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.27%EV -16.32%E -3.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-18 03:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.38%EV -16.78%E -11.26%K -34.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.19%EV -10.62%E -2.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-18 04:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.