Language:English
Universidad de Chile v Ñublense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad de Chile (Local)
Prediction 62.11%1.61fair odd
EV -0.003%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.006%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.61%61.90%62.01%63.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.441.6171.43%68.34%69.20%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ñublense (Visit)
Prediction 14.86%6.73fair odd
EV +3.99%
Edge +0.570%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.60%15.12%14.84%17.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.026.007.0018.87%16.61%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.03%4.34fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.81%22.98%23.15%23.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.943.954.1526.67%25.40%25.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 62.11%; Ñublense (Visit): 14.86%; Draw: 23.03%. For Ñublense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +3.99%E +0.570%K +0.665%G +0.027% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -4.41%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-21 07:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.26%EV -9.32%E -6.38%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -3.44%E -0.529%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -5.56%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-22 09:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.94%E -6.86%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.44%E -0.529%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.56%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-22 09:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -4.92%E -0.769%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.01%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-21 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -6.41%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -11.32%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-21 15:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.08%E -5.46%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -7.15%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.01%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-23 13:02 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -7.46%E -5.00%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -9.38%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.13%EV -8.32%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 04:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.56%E -7.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.86%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.86%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-22 09:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.56%E -7.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.86%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.86%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-24 03:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.56%E -7.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -10.86%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.47%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 09:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.56%E -7.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -10.86%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.47%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 09:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.56%E -7.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -10.86%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.47%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 09:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.02%EV -7.46%E -5.00%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.36%EV -12.05%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -11.32%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 04:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -11.80%E -8.31%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -16.81%E -3.00%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -9.01%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-23 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -10.56%E -7.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -18.29%E -3.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.62%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-22 09:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -13.05%E -9.32%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -18.29%E -3.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -7.86%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-29 07:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80%EV -13.05%E -9.32%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -18.29%E -3.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -11.32%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-23 09:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.80%EV -21.26%E -4.01%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.86%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-09-24 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-09-24 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.03% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33% | 170.3% | 2026-09-24 11:39 |