Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 5.90
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 58.36%; Ñublense (Visit): 18.16%; Draw: 23.48%. For Ñublense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.51. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.54%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +7.17%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.105% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.45%E +0.773%K +0.936%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.74%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.45%E +0.773%K +0.936%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.74%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.45%E +0.773%K +0.936%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.74%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.45%E +0.773%K +0.936%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.74%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.45%E +0.773%K +0.936%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.74%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.71%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV +2.45%E +0.434%K +0.528%G +0.013% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.36%EV -3.98%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -1.91%E -0.354%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -1.91%E -0.354%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -15.48%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -13.63%E -9.21%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -1.91%E -0.354%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -8.44%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.46%EV -14.21%E -9.67%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -1.91%E -0.354%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.61%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.46%EV -14.21%E -9.67%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -1.91%E -0.354%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.61%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.19%EV -3.71%E -2.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.98%EV -3.00%E -0.562%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.83%EV -5.39%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -8.96%E -5.74%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.73%E -0.703%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.44%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.64%E -0.883%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.64%E -0.883%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.54%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 19:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -5.54%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 19:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -5.54%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.46%E -8.31%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -5.54%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 17.66%EV -6.27%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.36%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.36%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -5.46%E -3.37%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.36%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.44%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.79%E -4.93%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.48%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.48%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.48%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.90%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -10.99%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -9.54%E -6.16%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.81%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.44%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.54%E -6.16%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -8.96%E -5.74%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -14.63%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -9.54%E -6.16%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -14.63%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.44%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-12 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.21%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -18.26%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 58.19%EV -16.55%E -11.57%K -38.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 18.70%EV -19.17%E -4.31%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.11%EV -15.48%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-10-12 19:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-10-12 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28% | 2.3% | 2026-10-12 19:45 |