Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Chile v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC

Final: Universidad de Chile 4–2 Coquimbo Unido

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Prediction 47.16%2.12fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.11%47.26%47.26%50.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.32%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV +6.80%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.03%24.46%24.47%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.723.704.3528.99%26.88%27.03%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.29%3.53fair odd
EV -0.983%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.393%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%28.28%28.27%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.71%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 47.16%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 24.55%; Draw: 28.29%. For Coquimbo Unido (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.18%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV +6.80%E +1.56%K +2.03%G +0.138%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -2.40%E -0.695%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:50
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.62%EV -0.074%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.51%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:50
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV -1.55%E -0.386%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -3.81%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.18%EV -6.16%E -3.09%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.18%EV -6.16%E -3.09%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:35
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.18%EV -6.16%E -3.09%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-05 23:55
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.02%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.71%EV -2.53%E -0.637%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -2.40%E -0.695%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:35
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:34
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -8.51%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -5.23%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.21%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.40%E -0.695%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.40%E -0.695%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.40%E -0.695%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:30
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -2.40%E -0.695%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -8.51%E -4.39%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -2.40%E -0.695%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 07:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:45
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -11.82%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -0.983%E -0.281%K -0.393%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:50
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.81%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:40
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-05 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-05 23:45
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -12.76%E -6.90%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-05 23:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.81%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.81%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-05 23:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-05 23:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.93%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -13.70%E -7.49%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:30
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.71%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -12.84%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-05 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:35
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.13%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -15.30%E -4.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-05 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.34%E -6.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -15.30%E -4.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-05 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-05 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-05 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-05 23:50
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-09-05 23:50
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-05 23:50
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-05 23:50