Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 43.46%; Colo Colo (Visit): 29.86%; Draw: 26.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.748. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.048%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -11.92%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV +0.048%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -1.46%E -0.444%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.01%EV -1.34%E -0.592%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.72%EV -4.75%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.96%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.92%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -13.08%E -6.54%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.93%EV -8.30%E -3.93%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.16%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.86%E -3.71%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.86%E -3.71%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -12.21%E -6.04%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.99%E -3.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -9.60%E -4.62%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.08%E -6.54%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.86%E -3.71%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -16.39%E -5.85%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 04:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -16.39%E -5.85%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 04:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -16.39%E -5.85%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -16.39%E -5.85%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 04:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -16.39%E -5.85%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 04:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -0.909%E -0.398%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -17.89%E -6.50%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -15.96%E -5.07%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 04:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -2.21%E -0.983%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -17.89%E -6.50%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 04:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -2.21%E -0.983%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -17.89%E -6.50%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 04:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.93% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03% | -0.0% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.24% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |