The School of Odds
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Universidad Católica (CHI) v Universidad de Chile

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 15:30 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 1–0 Universidad de Chile

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.92%29.93%29.88%31.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.003.3035.71%32.86%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Chile (Visit)

Prediction 43.89%2.28fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.43%43.86%43.92%45.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.102.102.2053.76%47.68%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.655%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.21%26.20%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.403.7531.25%28.93%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 29.93%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 43.89%; Draw: 26.19%. For Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -1.25%E -0.378%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 15:25
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%EV -2.74%E -0.844%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -1.80%E -0.480%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:25
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:24
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:24
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 15:14
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -14.42%E -7.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 15:15
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:10
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:10
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:10
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:15
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.32%EV -6.63%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.19%EV -3.88%E -1.77%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.49%EV -6.51%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:15
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:15
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 15:25
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 15:23
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -10.47%E -5.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 29.88%EV -7.83%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 15:15
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 15:14
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 15:04
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 15:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 15:15
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.71%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 15:10
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:25
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -8.71%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -16.20%E -5.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -16.20%E -5.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -16.20%E -5.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 15:15
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:05
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:05
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 15:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 15:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -14.71%E -5.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -12.22%E -6.11%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.4%2026-11-01 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -14.71%E -5.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 44.77%EV -18.37%E -9.88%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.02%EV -16.20%E -5.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%20.1%2026-11-01 15:15
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.21%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.22%E -6.11%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-01 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.0%2026-11-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-11-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-11-01 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-11-01 15:15
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-11-01 15:10
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%4.6%2026-11-01 15:25

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